Recent Publications

Climate change has emerged as a growing threat to the European economy, whose economic losses are relevant for global growth. Due to the economic integration within the EU, these impacts will likely have spillover effects and feedback loops to and from other regions. We use spatial econometrics to account for the interdependencies between the subnational EU regions to estimate the future impacts of changes in temperature on sectoral labour productivity under the Paris Agreement. Our findings show that observations at the economy-wide level of a non-linear, concave, relationship between temperature and productivity.

Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement

We study the crucial linkage between climate change and availability of low-skilled labour in South Africa. Using a nationally representative panel of micro-survey data, our econometric findings suggest that optimal conditions maximizing weekly labour supply are heterogeneous across sectors. Results from an OLG model suggest that high exposure of low-skilled labour to climate change and rising temperatures reduces low-skilled labour supply which in turn, reduces the wage gap between high-skilled and low-skilled labour. However, welfare in terms of output per adult drops by 20% compared to the baseline case with no climate change.

Climate change and development in South Africa: the impact of rising temperatures on economic productivity and labour availability

The Lancet Countdown is an international collaboration established to provide an independent, global monitoring system dedicated to tracking the emerging health profile of the changing climate. The 2020 report presents 43 indicators across five sections: climate change impacts, exposures, and vulnerabilities; adaptation, planning, and resilience for health; mitigation actions and health co-benefits; economics and finance; and public and political engagement.

Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement

This review analyses global or near-global estimates of population exposure to sea-level rise and related hazards. We underscore the complex connections among SLR, exposure to its impacts, and migration. While global estimates of exposed and potentially migrating populations highlight the significant threats of SLR for populations living in low-lying areas at or near coastlines, further research is needed to understand the interactions among localised SLR and related hazards, social and political contexts, adaptation possibilities, and potential migration and (im)mobility decision-making.

A review of estimating population exposure to sea-level rise and the relevance for migration

We analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain partly due to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. We propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.

Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

We investigate the impact of warming on agricultural labour supply through calorie intake in Uganda. First, combining micro survey and high-resolution climatic data and using an IV approach, we find that labour supply is optimized at a mean temperature of 21.3°C. Results from an OLG model shows that economic activity decreases by 20% by the end of the century due to climate change.

Climate impacts on nutrition and labor supply disentangled – an analysis for rural areas of Uganda

Selected Publications

Vesco, P., Dasgupta, S, De Cian, E., Carraro, C. (2020). Natural Resources and Conflict: A Meta-analysis of the Empirical Literature. Ecological Economics, (172). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106633. 

Marzi, S., Farina, L., Dasgupta, S, Mysiak, J., Lorenzoni, A. (2019). Competence analysis for promoting energy efficiency projects in developing countries: The case of OPEC. Energy, (189). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.115996.

De Cian E., Dasgupta, S, Hof A.F., Van Sluisveld M.A.E., Köhler J., Pfluger B., Van Vuuren D.P. (2018). Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (151). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.10.004.  

Dasgupta, S and De Cian E. (2018). The influence of institutions, governance, and public opinion on the environment: Synthesized findings from applied econometrics studies. Energy Research & Social Science, (43). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.05.023

Dasgupta, S. (2018). Burden of Climate Change on Malaria Mortality. International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health, (221). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijheh.2018.04.003

Dasgupta, S, De Cian, E., Verdolini, E. (2017). The political economy of energy innovation. In D. Arent, C. Arndt, M. Miller, F. Tarp, O. Zinaman (Eds.). The political economy of clean energy transitions. United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.

Bhattacharya, D. and Dasgupta, S. (2012). Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Exploring the Resilience of The Least Developed Countries. Journal of International Development, (24). https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.2860.